IR = (IC) * (BR)^0.5
Information Ratio = (Information Coefficient) * (Breadth)^0.5
Information Coefficient : depth of knowledge (correlation between the manager's forecasted and actual returns)
Breadth : number of independent investment decisions (e.g., # of index constituents)
Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Passive Fund Construction Strategies: characteristic of the index and fund
| Index / Fund | factors to consider when choosing a strategy | Full Replication | Stratified Sampling or Optimization |
| Index | # of stocks | Few (limited) | Large |
| Index | Liquidity | High | Illiquid (at least some of index constituents are illiquid) |
| Fund | Cash (as funds to invest) | Significant (huge) | |
| Fund | Tracking Error (as a result of portfolio construction) | Low | Relatively higher (compared to Full Replication) |
| Fund | Rebalancing when |
Labels:
CFA Level 3 (June 2014),
P
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Rebalancing: Strategy, Factors, and Corridor
| Rebalancing: Strategy | Constant Mix | Constant Proportion (e.g., CPPI) | Buy and Hold |
| Optimal for investors with a floor value? | a floor value which limits his or her willingness to take risks if one's portfolio declines below that value | floor value >= 0 | |
| Optimal for investors with absolute risk tolerance that: |
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| GOOD performance if markets are | Ups and downs (mean-reversion, or "volatile" markets) | Trending (with no or few reversals) | in the middle of Constant Mix and Constant Proportion |
| POOR performance if markets are | Trending (with no or few reversals) | Ups and downs | in the middle of Constant Mix and Constant Proportion |
| Payoff Curve | Concave (*1) | Convex | Linear |
Also, Calendar Strategy's Rebalancing Frequency depends on volatility of asset class in the portfolio.
(*1) It supplies liquidity to the market, in effect "selling insurance" by taking the less popular side of trades when the market is trending up or down.
| # | Factor | |||
| 1 | Volatility | High | Low | |
| 2 | Frequency | Infrequent | Appropriately frequent | Too frequent |
| Market Impact / Trading Cost | High
| Low
| High
|
| # | |||||
| 1 | Risk tolerance | High | |||
| 2 | Flexibility for the asset allocation relative to the target mix | High | |||
| 3 | Volatility | Low | High | ||
| 4 | Correlation with the rest of the portfolio | High | Low | ||
| 5 | Transaction Cost | High | Low | ||
| Rebalancing Corridor Width | Wide | Wide | Narrow (*2) |
Labels:
CFA Level 3 (June 2014),
R
Concentrated Position in a Publicly Traded Common Stock
| # | Consequence | |||
| 1 | Outright Sale | |||
| 2 | Monetization |
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| 3 | Hedging |
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Labels:
C,
CFA Level 3 (June 2014)
Goal-based Planning
| Risk Bucket | Personal | Market | Aspirational | |
| Goal |
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| Examples of investment instruments |
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Labels:
CFA Level 3 (June 2014),
G
Monday, February 10, 2014
Hedging Strategies
| Pros | Cons | |||
| Hedging with futures |
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| Insuring with options (Option insurance strategy) |
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| Delta hedging with options |
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Labels:
CFA Level 3 (June 2014),
H
Sunday, February 9, 2014
Expected Annual Return of the Equity Index
Expected Annual Return of the Equity Index
E(Rd)
= (Dividend Yield) + {Capital Appreciation or Depreciation}
= (D/P) - (ΔS) + i + g + (ΔP/E)
(D/P) = Dividend Yield
(ΔS) = % Change in Shares Outstanding (positive when share issuance, negative when share repurchases occur)
i = Inflation Rate
g = Real Earnings Growth
(ΔP/E) = Repricing as economic activity is expected to accelerate in the next 12 months (*)
(*) Repricing refers to changes in nominal earnings multiplier (price/earnings ratio) that determines the share's market price. P/E ratios typically expand as the economy expands and contract as the economy contracts, although not necessarily at the same pace or precisely in sync with each other.
For instance,
E(Rd)
= (Dividend Yield) + {Capital Appreciation or Depreciation}
= (D/P) - (ΔS) + i + g + (ΔP/E)
(D/P) = Dividend Yield
(ΔS) = % Change in Shares Outstanding (positive when share issuance, negative when share repurchases occur)
i = Inflation Rate
g = Real Earnings Growth
(ΔP/E) = Repricing as economic activity is expected to accelerate in the next 12 months (*)
(*) Repricing refers to changes in nominal earnings multiplier (price/earnings ratio) that determines the share's market price. P/E ratios typically expand as the economy expands and contract as the economy contracts, although not necessarily at the same pace or precisely in sync with each other.
For instance,
(D/P) = 1.25%
(ΔS) = -1.50% (shares REPURCHASE % of outstanding shares)
i = 2.50%
g = 3.50%
(ΔP/E) = 4.00%
E(Rd) = (D/P) - (ΔS) + i + g + (ΔP/E) = (1.25) - (-1.50) + 2.50 + 3.50 + (4.00) = 12.75%
Labels:
CFA Level 3 (June 2014),
E
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