Saturday, February 8, 2014

After-tax Return, Effective Long-Term Capital Gains Tax Rate, Future Value of the Portfolio, and Accrual Equivalent Return

Investment Portfolio = V0 = $750,000
Average Annual Portfolio Pre-tax Return = r = 8.0%
Investment Time Horizon = n = 5 (years)
Cost Basis as a % of current market value = 100% = 1

Portfolio Expected Return Distribution
SourceFirst YearAnnual Proportion (p)
Tax Rate (t)
Tax Interest$ 18,00030.00 %25 %
Dividends$ 5,000
8.33 %
15 %
Short-Term Capital Gains
$12,000
20.00 %
25 %
Long-Term Capital Gains
$ 25,000
41.67 %
20 %
Total
$ 60,000
100.00 %


[1] After-tax Return

r* = r (1 - pi ti - pd td - psg tsg)

r* = 8.00% * (1 - 0.3000 * 25% - 0.0833 * 15% - 0.2000 * 25%) = 6.90%


[2] Effective Long-Term Capital Gains Tax Rate

r* T* = r (plg tlg)T* = (r/r*) (plg tlg)

T* = (8.00%/6.90%) * (41.67% * 20%)
= 9.66260869565217% = 9.66%

Also,
(r/r*) = 1/(1 - pi ti - pd td - psg tsg)
# from the result of [1]
T* = (plg tlg)/(1 - pi ti - pd td - psg tsg)


[3] Future Value of the Portfolio

Vn = V0 [1 + {(1 + r*)- 1(1 - T*)  -  (1 - B) tlc]
V0 [{(1 + r*)(1 - T*) + T* -  (1 - B) tlc]

Vn = $750,000 [{(1 + 6.90%)(1 - 9.66%) + 9.66%}  -  (1 - 1) 20%]
= 750000 * (((1 + 6.90%)^5 * (1 - 9.66%) + 9.66%)  -  (1 - 1) * 20%)
= 1,018,316.56847811 = 1,018,316.57


[4] Accrual Equivalent Return

V0 (1 + RAE)Vn
RAE = (Vn/V0)1/n - 1

RAE = (1,018,316.57 / 750,000)1/5 - 1
= (1018316.57 / 750000)^0.20 - 1
= 0.0630759897687938 = 6.31%

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