- The convenience yield decreases the futures price. (like dividend yield).
- The price of an index futures contract is reduced by cash flows from the underlying asset, but the reduction comes from the future value of the cash flows, NOT from an implied cost for retaining the use of the underlying asset.
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Convenience Yield
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Cash Flow Yield (CFY)
- dependent on prepayment assumptions
- if prepayment rates differ from the assumption, the CFY will not be realized
- The reinvestment assumption of the CFY is a weakness. The CFY calculation assumes that interim cash flows are reinvested at the CFY.
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Friday, April 29, 2011
ICAPM (International CAPM)
E(R) = Rf,DC + βWM * WMRP + γDC * FCRP
Rf,DC: domestic risk-free rate
βWM: asset's world market beta
WMRP: world market risk premium
γDC: sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency return to a change in the local (foreign) currency
FCRP: foreign currency risk premium
All returns are measured in DC (domestic currency).
γLC = γFC = 0.70
We need to convert this to the sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency returns to the local currency. Using the formula for the sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency return to a change in the local currency.
γ = γDC = γFC + 1= 0.70 + 1 = 1.70
The ICAPM expected return for the foreign company is:
E(R)
= Rf,DC + βWM * WMRP + γDC * FCRP
= 2.00% + 1.40 * 6.00% + 1.70 * 3.00%
= 15.500%
Rf,DC: domestic risk-free rate
βWM: asset's world market beta
WMRP: world market risk premium
γDC: sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency return to a change in the local (foreign) currency
FCRP: foreign currency risk premium
All returns are measured in DC (domestic currency).
| items | value | ||
| Rf,DC | 2.00% | ||
| Rf,FC | 8.00% | ||
| World market risk premium | 6.00% | ||
| Foreign country index beta to world market index | 1.40 | ||
| Foreign country's local market risk premium | 7.50% | ||
| Foreign company's beta to local index | 1.30 | ||
| Foreign currency risk premium | 3.00% | ||
| Foreign country's sensitivity of LC stock returns to LC | 0.70 |
γLC = γFC = 0.70
We need to convert this to the sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency returns to the local currency. Using the formula for the sensitivity of the asset's domestic currency return to a change in the local currency.
γ = γDC = γFC + 1= 0.70 + 1 = 1.70
The ICAPM expected return for the foreign company is:
E(R)
= Rf,DC + βWM * WMRP + γDC * FCRP
= 2.00% + 1.40 * 6.00% + 1.70 * 3.00%
= 15.500%
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
I
traditional model
When the FC (foreign currency) changes by 10%, the value of the exporter (a foreign company) stock generally change by 6%. The exporter does not import its inputs but obtains them locally.
[Question]
The sensitivity of the exporter stock returns, measured in DC (domestic currency) to changes in the value of the FC is:
The exporter's local currency (FC) exposure is thus negative and is -0.60.
Using the formula for the domestic currency exposure, the sensitivity of the exporter stock returns in DC terms to changes in the value of the FC is:
γ = γ(LC) + 1
= (-0.60) + 1 = 0.40
γ: DC sensitivity
γ(LC): LC (local currency) sensitivity
(opposite) money demand model
[Question]
The sensitivity of the exporter stock returns, measured in DC (domestic currency) to changes in the value of the FC is:
| FC | Exporter stock price | ||
| ↑(appreciation) 10% | -6% | ||
| ↓(depreciation) -10% | +6% |
The exporter's local currency (FC) exposure is thus negative and is -0.60.
Using the formula for the domestic currency exposure, the sensitivity of the exporter stock returns in DC terms to changes in the value of the FC is:
γ = γ(LC) + 1
= (-0.60) + 1 = 0.40
γ: DC sensitivity
γ(LC): LC (local currency) sensitivity
(opposite) money demand model
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
T
Foreign Currency Risk Premium (FCRP)
[Question]
The foreign exchange expectation theory and interest rate parity hold between DC (domestic currency/country) and FC (foreign currency/country).
Interest rate: rDC=2%, rFC=5%
What is the foreign currency risk premium?
Answer:
FCRP = Expected exchange rate movement - Interest rate differential between DC and FC
= (E(S1) - S0)/S0 - (rDC - rFC)
S1, S0: DC/FC
If interest parity holds, the foreign rate, F, reflects the differences between country interest rates.
F = S0 * (1 + rDC - rFC)
FCRP
= (E(S1) - S0)/S0 - S0*(rDC - rFC)/S0
= (E(S1) - S0*(1 + rDC - rFC))/S0
= (E(S1) - F)/S0
The foreign exchange expectation relation states that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the expected future spot rate:
F = E(S1)
So, if the foreign exchange expectation relation holds, then the foreign currency risk premium is equal to zero.
The foreign exchange expectation theory and interest rate parity hold between DC (domestic currency/country) and FC (foreign currency/country).
Interest rate: rDC=2%, rFC=5%
What is the foreign currency risk premium?
Answer:
FCRP = Expected exchange rate movement - Interest rate differential between DC and FC
= (E(S1) - S0)/S0 - (rDC - rFC)
S1, S0: DC/FC
If interest parity holds, the foreign rate, F, reflects the differences between country interest rates.
F = S0 * (1 + rDC - rFC)
FCRP
= (E(S1) - S0)/S0 - S0*(rDC - rFC)/S0
= (E(S1) - S0*(1 + rDC - rFC))/S0
= (E(S1) - F)/S0
The foreign exchange expectation relation states that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the expected future spot rate:
F = E(S1)
So, if the foreign exchange expectation relation holds, then the foreign currency risk premium is equal to zero.
FCRP
= (E(S1) - F)/S0= 0/S0= 0
In other words, there is no risk premium for exposure to currency risk.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
extended CAPM
Extended CAPM is NOT international CAPM.
[Question]
Statement:
Are both statements correct?
Statement:
[Question]
Statement:
- To extend the domestic CAPM to international asset pricing using the extended CAPM, one must make two additional assumptions.
- Global investors have identical consumption baskets.
- Interest rate parity holds throughout the world.
- The extended CAPM assumes that exchange rate changes are predictable so that there is no real exchange rate risk.
Are both statements correct?
Statement:
- Correct. In order to use the extended CAPM, one must assume that global investors have identical consumption baskets.
- Incorrect. We must assume that purchasing power parity holds throughout the world, NOT Interest rate parity.
- Correct. The extended CAPM assumes that exchange rate changes are predictable so that there is no real exchange rate risk. If exchange rates are consistent with purchasing power parity, exchange rate changes would reflect the inflation differentials between any two countries and real exchange rate risk would be nil.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
E
Impairment loss
| Impairment test (under each inequality, impairment loss is recognized): | Impairment loss | CV after impairment loss | |
| U.S.GAAP | Fair value < Carrying value (including goodwill) or Net book value(CV) > Undiscounted cash flows | (CV - FV) | FV |
| IFRS | Recoverable amount < Carrying value (including goodwill) | (CV - FV) | FV |
The decline is considered to be permanent, the impairment loss is recognized on the income statement.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
I
Full goodwill, partial goodwill, and pooling method: Goodwill, Long-term debt-to-equity ratio
| in $ millions | Acquirer | Target | ||
| Book value | Fair value | Book value | Fair value | |
| Current assets | 9,000 | 9,000 | 500 | 700 |
| Noncurrent assets | 7,500 | 7,800 | 900 | 950 |
| 16,500 | 16,800 | 1,400 | 1,650 | |
| Current liabilities | 3,000 | 3,000 | 250 | 250 |
| Long-term debt | 7,700 | 7,500 | 400 | 300 |
| Shareholder's equity | 5,800 | 6,300 | 750 | 1,100 |
| 16,500 | 16,800 | 1,400 | 1,650 |
Acquirer purchased a 60% controlling interest in Target for $900 million (paid with shares of Acquirer's common stock)
| method | Goodwill | |||
| Full goodwill | 900/60% - 1,100 (identifiable net assets@FV) = 400 | |||
| Partial goodwill | 900 - 1,100 * 60% (pro-rate share of Target's identifiable net assets@FV) = 240 | |||
| Pooling | 0 (*) |
| method | Goodwill | |||
| Long-term debt | 7,700 (Acquirer, BV) + 300 (Target, FV) | |||
| Equity | 5,800 (Acquirer, BV) + 900 (Acquirer, FV, shares to acquire Target) + 600 (noncontrolling interest) (*) | |||
| Long-term debt-to-Equity ratio | 8,000/7,300 = 1.0959 |
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
carrying value of fixed income portfolio
| bond | P | V | ||
| bond classification | held-to-maturity | held-for-trading | ||
| face value | $10 million | $7 million | ||
| coupon | 4%, annual | 5%, semi-annual | ||
| maturity | - | 19.5 years | ||
| 1/2/2009 | $9.2 million (yield=5%) purchase price | |||
| 7/1/2009 | $7 million (par) purchase price | |||
| 12/31/2009(current) | $9.6 million fair value (*2) $9,260,000 carrying value | (yield = 4%) fair value (*1) $7,941,591 carrying value |
(*1) Trading securities are reported on the balance sheet at fair value. (carrying value = fair value)
N = 19.5*2 = 39
I/Y = 4/2 = 2
PMT = 5% * (1/2) * 7,000,000 = 175,000
FV = 7,000,000
CPT PV = -7,941,590.609
(*2) Held-to-maturity securities are reported on the balance sheet at amortized cost.
Carrying value = issue price + discount amortization
= 9,200,000 + (9,200,000*5% - 10,000,000*4%)
= 9,260,000
Thus, at the end of 2009, the investment portfolio is reported at:
9,260,000 + 7,941,591 = 17,201,591
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Deregulation
| Effect | Scenario | A | B | C |
| short-term | Prices | Decrease | Increase | Increase |
| short-term | Quality of goods and services | Improves | Improves | Declines |
| short-term | Welfare of industry workers | Declines | Improves | Declines |
| long-term | Prices | Decrease | Increase | Decrease |
| long-term | Competition | Increase | Decrease | Increase |
Which is the most likely scenario resulting from deregulation?
Answer: C
In the short-run:
- Prices may rise.
- The quality of goods and services may decline.
- Unions become less powerful and employees may be laid off.
- High cost producers may exit the industry due to lower profits.
In the long-run:
- Prices should fall.
- Industries will become more competitive as barriers to entry fall.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Capture hypothesis
- The regulatory decisions favor an industry, because:
- the regulatory bodies tend to have members who used to work in the industry.
- the industry has greater economic resources and incentives than consumers.
The industry "captures" the regulators.
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Rate-of-return regulation
(e.g.)
The government is allowing the electricity producer to set their own prices, as long as the prices do not result in excessive returns for the producers.
The government is allowing the electricity producer to set their own prices, as long as the prices do not result in excessive returns for the producers.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
R
Saturday, April 23, 2011
Currency Swap
At the inception of the contract (0 day):
Maturity = 2-year (fixed for fixed)
Payment = annual
Exchange of notional principal: at the beginning and end of the swap term
Notional principal: $100 million
[1] Annual fixed payments in MXN
To calculate the fixed payment in MXN, first use the Mexican term structure to derive the present value factors:
Z360(0 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.0%*360/360) = 0.9524
Z720(0 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.2%*720/360) = 0.9058
The annual fixed payment per peso of notional principal would then be:
SF(0,2,360) = (1-0.9058)/(0.9524+0.9058) = 0.0507
The annual fixed payment would be:
0.0507*$100 million*(1MXN/$0.0893) = 56.8 million MXN
Six months have passed (180 days):
[2] Present value of the dollar fixed payments for the two-year currency swap six months after the initial analysis
Fixed rate (USD, 0 day) = (1-0.9174)/(0.9615+0.9174) = 0.044
Z180(180day), USD = 1/(1+4.2%*180/360) = 0.9794
Z540(180 day), USD = 1/(1+4.8%*540/360) = 0.9328
0.044 * 100 * (0.9794+0.9328) + 100 * 0.9328 = $101.69 million
[3] Value of the 2-year currency swap from the perspective of the counterparty paying dollars six months after the initial analysis
Fixed rate (USD, 0 day) = 0.044
Fixed rate (MXN, 0 day) = 0.0507
| Time | USD/MXN | ||
| 0 day | $0.0893 |
| Time | USD | MXN | |
| 360 days | 4.0% | 5.0% | |
| 720 days | 4.5% | 5.2% |
Maturity = 2-year (fixed for fixed)
Payment = annual
Exchange of notional principal: at the beginning and end of the swap term
Notional principal: $100 million
[1] Annual fixed payments in MXN
To calculate the fixed payment in MXN, first use the Mexican term structure to derive the present value factors:
Z360(0 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.0%*360/360) = 0.9524
Z720(0 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.2%*720/360) = 0.9058
The annual fixed payment per peso of notional principal would then be:
SF(0,2,360) = (1-0.9058)/(0.9524+0.9058) = 0.0507
The annual fixed payment would be:
0.0507*$100 million*(1MXN/$0.0893) = 56.8 million MXN
Six months have passed (180 days):
| Time | USD/MXN | ||
| 180 day passed (current) | $0.0850 |
| Time | USD | MXN | |
| 180 days | 4.2% | 5.0% | |
| 540 days | 4.8% | 5.2% |
[2] Present value of the dollar fixed payments for the two-year currency swap six months after the initial analysis
Z360(0 day),USD = 1/(1+4.0%*360/360) = 0.9615
Z720(0 day),USD = 1/(1+4.5%*720/360) = 0.9174
Fixed rate (USD, 0 day) = (1-0.9174)/(0.9615+0.9174) = 0.044
Z180(180day), USD = 1/(1+4.2%*180/360) = 0.9794
Z540(180 day), USD = 1/(1+4.8%*540/360) = 0.9328
0.044 * 100 * (0.9794+0.9328) + 100 * 0.9328 = $101.69 million
[3] Value of the 2-year currency swap from the perspective of the counterparty paying dollars six months after the initial analysis
Fixed rate (USD, 0 day) = 0.044
Fixed rate (MXN, 0 day) = 0.0507
Z180(180 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.0%*180/360) = 0.9756
Z540(180 day),MXN = 1/(1+5.2%*540/360) = 0.9276
The present value of the fixed payments plus the principal is:
0.0507*(0.9756+0.9276)+1*0.9276 = 1.0241 (per MXN)
Apply this to notional principal and convert at current exchange rate:
1.0241 (per MXN) * ($100 million/$0.0893)*$0.085
= 1.0241 * (100/0.0893)*0.085 = $97.48 million
The value of the swap is the difference between this value and the pay dollar fixed present value derived in the previous question:
$97.48 million - $101.69 million = 97.48 - 101.69 = -$4.21 million
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Friday, April 22, 2011
netting agreements, mark-to-market agreements, and off market swap contracts
Because currency swaps almost always include netting agreements and interest rate swaps can be structured to include mark-to-market agreements, we can significantly reduce the credit risk of these swap instruments by negotiating swap contracts that include these respective features. When negotiating these features is not possible, credit risk can be reduced by using off-market swaps that do not require an initial payment from your firm.
[Question]
Evaluate statements above regarding your firm's ability to mitigate the credit risk inherent in currency swaps and interest rate swaps. The statements above are only correct regarding:
A. netting agreements.
B. mark-to-market agreements.
C. off market swap contracts.
Answer: B
(*) Currency swap payments are generally not netted.
(**) Using off-market swaps is not generally a method to reduce credit risk. If your firm enters into an off-market swap in which they do not owe a payment, then a payment is owed to your firm by the counterparty. This would actually increase credit risk since the counterparty could potentially default on the initial payment.
[Question]
Evaluate statements above regarding your firm's ability to mitigate the credit risk inherent in currency swaps and interest rate swaps. The statements above are only correct regarding:
A. netting agreements.
B. mark-to-market agreements.
C. off market swap contracts.
Answer: B
| Time | interest rate swap | currency swap | equity swap |
| netting agreements. | OK | - (*) | OK |
| mark-to-market agreements. | OK | OK | |
| off market swap contracts. (**) |
(*) Currency swap payments are generally not netted.
(**) Using off-market swaps is not generally a method to reduce credit risk. If your firm enters into an off-market swap in which they do not owe a payment, then a payment is owed to your firm by the counterparty. This would actually increase credit risk since the counterparty could potentially default on the initial payment.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Two-factor Arbitrage Pricing Model
Macroeconomic multi factor model equations:
RD = 0.09 + 1.0FIS + 0.0FBC
RE = 0.08 + 0.0FIS + 1.0FBC
FIS: surprise in investor sentiment
FBC: surprise in the business cycle
Two-factor Arbitrage Pricing Model
E(R) = risk free rate + bISRPIS + bBCRPBC
risk free rate = 0.05
bIS = 1.25
bBC = 1.10
RPIS: risk premium associated with risk factor IS
RPBC: risk premium associated with risk factor BC
According to the multi factor equations, the expected return (intercept) for the investor sentiment factor portfolio (D) = 9% and for the business cycle factor portfolio (E) equals 8%. Risk premiums are defined as the difference between the expected return on the appropriate factor portfolio and the risk-free rate.
Therefore,
RPIS = 0.09 - 0.05 = 0.04
RPBC = 0.08 - 0.05 = 0.03
The expected return for Portfolio P equals
0.05 + 1.25 * 0.04 + 1.10 * 0.03 = 0.133
RD = 0.09 + 1.0FIS + 0.0FBC
RE = 0.08 + 0.0FIS + 1.0FBC
FIS: surprise in investor sentiment
FBC: surprise in the business cycle
Two-factor Arbitrage Pricing Model
E(R) = risk free rate + bISRPIS + bBCRPBC
risk free rate = 0.05
bIS = 1.25
bBC = 1.10
RPIS: risk premium associated with risk factor IS
RPBC: risk premium associated with risk factor BC
According to the multi factor equations, the expected return (intercept) for the investor sentiment factor portfolio (D) = 9% and for the business cycle factor portfolio (E) equals 8%. Risk premiums are defined as the difference between the expected return on the appropriate factor portfolio and the risk-free rate.
Therefore,
RPIS = 0.09 - 0.05 = 0.04
RPBC = 0.08 - 0.05 = 0.03
The expected return for Portfolio P equals
0.05 + 1.25 * 0.04 + 1.10 * 0.03 = 0.133
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
T
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
highly inflationary environment: foreign subsidiary's gains and losses in the income statement
Assume the country where a foreign subsidiary is operating has been experiencing 30% annual inflation over the past three years.
The temporal method is required if the foreign subsidiary is operating in a highly inflationary environment, defined as cumulative inflation of more than 100% in a 3-year period.
(1+30%)^3 - 1 = 120%
The temporal method is required if the foreign subsidiary is operating in a highly inflationary environment, defined as cumulative inflation of more than 100% in a 3-year period.
(1+30%)^3 - 1 = 120%
| U.S.GAAP | U.S.GAAP | ||
| Accounting | temporal | temporal | |
| Remeasurement gains and losses | I/S | I/S | |
| subsidiary's net monetary asset/liability | liability | asset | |
| foreign currency | depreciating | depreciating | |
| Income statement | gain | loss |
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
H
Temporal method: depreciation expense
| Date | Balance (LCU) | LCU/$ | |
| beginning of 2006 | Purchase equipment | 975 | 1.00/1 |
| 2007 | Destroyed equipment | -108 | |
| end of 2007 | Receive an insurance settlement for the loss | 92 | |
| 6/30/2008 | Purchase equipment | 225 | 1.25/1 |
[Question]
Assuming that the equipment is depreciated using the straight-line method over ten years with no salvage value, calculate the subsidiary's 2008 depreciation expense under the temporal method.
Answer:
Temporal method→depreciation: (H) Historical FX rate
((975-108)-0)/10 = 86.7 LCU
86.7 LCU * (1.00USD/1.00LCU) = 86.7 USD million
(225-0)/10 * 0.50 = 11.25 LCU
11.25 LCU * (1.00USD/1.25LCU) = 9 USD million
86.7 + 9 = 95.7 USD million
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
T
Economic Equilibrium
To understand the role of technology in the growth of the country A's economy (using neoclassical growth theory assumptions), the following table was developed to show the increased productivity of country A's farmers using disease resistant grains. Assume new disease resistant grain technology was introduced into the country A's farm economy at Point A.
[Question]
Based on the neoclassical growth model, indicate at what point the country A's farmers would find economic equilibrium after the introduction of disease resistant grains.
A. Point A.
B. Point B.
C. Point C.
Answer: C
Equilibrium in the neoclassical model occurs when the target rate of return equals the real interest rates equal the target interest rates.
Target rate of return = Real interest rates = Target interest rates
| Point | A | B | C |
| Target rate of return | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Real interest rate | 10% | 13% | 12% |
[Question]
Based on the neoclassical growth model, indicate at what point the country A's farmers would find economic equilibrium after the introduction of disease resistant grains.
A. Point A.
B. Point B.
C. Point C.
Answer: C
Equilibrium in the neoclassical model occurs when the target rate of return equals the real interest rates equal the target interest rates.
Target rate of return = Real interest rates = Target interest rates
- Real interest rates are those rates achieved in the market
- Target interest rates are those rates of return the investor wishes to earn.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
E
Neoclassical growth theory: Convergence of economic growth rate and income level to that of richer countries
Country A was able to achieve economic growth rates and income levels comparable with many of its neighboring countries during the neoclassical growth period. Country A's scientists, together with the engineering department of a university, provided access to the finest technology in the world. In addition, country A opened up its equity markets to outside investors and allowed its currency to float. Dr. S believes that, given time, these capital market improvements should allow the country A's economy to achieve an economic growth rate and per capita income level comparable to any country in the world.
Answer: B
The neoclassical growth theory model does indeed imply that given access to the same technology and capital markets, then growth rates and income levels per person should begin to converge on a global basis.
While some convergence has occurred over time, many countries are just as far away from the rich countries as they have ever been. This lack of convergence in the real world is probably due to the fact that the neoclassical growth model leaves out many of the variables that must grow at the same rate in different countries for convergence to occur.
Obstacles to convergence include differences in:
[Question]
Country A has access to the same world class technology and capital markets as its more advanced neighbors. Dr. S expects country A's economic growth rate and income level to converge to that of richer countries over time. Indicate whether convergence with richer countries is likely or unlikely. Convergence is:
A. likely, due to country A's similar access to capital and technology.
B. unlikely, due to differences in savings rates and target rates of return.
C. likely due to differences in savings rates and target rates of return, but not due to similar access to capital and technology.
Answer: B
The neoclassical growth theory model does indeed imply that given access to the same technology and capital markets, then growth rates and income levels per person should begin to converge on a global basis.
While some convergence has occurred over time, many countries are just as far away from the rich countries as they have ever been. This lack of convergence in the real world is probably due to the fact that the neoclassical growth model leaves out many of the variables that must grow at the same rate in different countries for convergence to occur.
Obstacles to convergence include differences in:
- population growth rates
- rates of technological change
- (and most importantly) savings rates and target rates of return
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
N
Sunday, April 17, 2011
Soft Dollar Standards
- CFA Institute's soft-dollar rules are not mandatory. In any case, client brokerage can be used to pay for a portion of mixed-use research.
- Investment firms can use client brokerage to purchase research that does not immediately benefit the client. Commissions generated by outside trades are considered soft dollars, but commissions from internal trading desk are not.
- Correct.
- Statement 1 is true. CFA Institute Soft Dollar Standards are voluntary, though firms that wish to claim compliance with the Standards must follow them completely.
- Client brokerage can be used to pay for mixed-use research with the caveat that the research must be reasonable, justifiable, and documentable, and that the client brokerage is only used to pay for the portion of the research that will be used in the investment decision-making process.
- Incorrect.
- Commissions from both internal and external brokerage operations are considered soft dollars, so Statement 2 is false.
- While research paid for by client brokerage should directly benefit the client, it does not have to do so immediately.
interest rate floor: valuation
[Question]
If 1-year LIBOR at the end of year 2 is 5.8%, the absolute value of a position (long or short) in the 2-year, 6%, $30 million interest rate floor at the end of year 2 is:
Answer:
(6%-5.8%)*$30,000,000/(1+5.8%) = 56,710.78
The floor pays off in arrears, so the $60,000 payoff is made at the end of the third year, and the floor value at maturity is the present value of the $60,000 payoff discounted 1 year at 5.8%.
If 1-year LIBOR at the end of year 2 is 5.8%, the absolute value of a position (long or short) in the 2-year, 6%, $30 million interest rate floor at the end of year 2 is:
Answer:
(6%-5.8%)*$30,000,000/(1+5.8%) = 56,710.78
The floor pays off in arrears, so the $60,000 payoff is made at the end of the third year, and the floor value at maturity is the present value of the $60,000 payoff discounted 1 year at 5.8%.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
I
Saturday, April 16, 2011
industry life cycle: four phases
| phase | description | ||
| 1 | pioneer | It is not clear that a product will be accepted in the industry. | |
| 2 | growth | Proper execution of strategy is critical. | |
| 3 | mature | Participants compete for market share in a stable industry. | |
| 4 | decline | Changing tastes have an important impact on the industry. |
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
I
Economic Value Added (EVA) and Market Value Added (MVA)
| Assets | Liabilities | |||
| Cash | 125,000 | Accounts payable | 426,000 | |
| Accounts payable | 975,000 | Accrued liabilities | 774,000 | |
| Inventory | 1,215,000 | Long-term debt | 6,211,000 | |
| Fixed assets (net) | 9,227,000 | |||
| Equity | ||||
| Common shares | 2,100,000 | |||
| Retained earnings | 2,081,000 | |||
| Total assets | 11,592,000 | Total liabilities and equity | 11,592,000 |
| Sales | 9,423,000 | |||
| Cost of sales | 4,580,000 | |||
| SG&A | 1,230,000 | |||
| Depreciation | 1,745,000 | |||
| Interest Expense | 522,000 | |||
| Income tax expense | 403,800 | |||
| Net income | 942,200 |
- Tax rate = 30%
- WACC = 11.9%
- Current stock price = $35
- Shares outstanding = 130,000
- Current long-term debt value = 95% of its book value
Economic Value Added (EVA)
= NOPAT - $WACC
= EBIT*(1-t) - $WACC
EBIT
= Sales - Cost of sales - SG&A - Depreciation
= 9,423,000 - 4,580,000 - 1,230,000 - 1,745,000
= 1,868,000
Total capital
= Long-term debt + Common shares + Retained earnings
= 6,211,000 + 2,100,000 + 2,081,000
= 10,392,000
Economic Value Added (EVA)
= 1,868,000*(1-30%) - 11.9% * 10,392,000
= 1,307,600 - 1,236,648
= 70,952
Market Value Added (MVA)
= Market value (Equity) + Market value (Long-term debt) - Book value (Equity) - Book value (Long-term debt)
Market value (equity) = $35 * 130,000 = $4,550,000
Market value (long-term debt) = 95% * 6,211,000 = $5,900,450
Market Value Added (MVA)
= 4,550,000 + 5,900,450 - (2,100,000 + 2,081,000) - 6,211,000
= 58,450
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
E
FCFE: appropriate valuation model with relatively constant proportions of equity and debt financing
[Question]
FCFE > 0
Under the assumption that a company maintains relatively constant proportions of equity and debt financing, the most appropriate valuation model is the:
A. FCFF approach.
B. FCFE approach.
C. residual income approach
Answer: B
Since the company's capital structure is reasonably stable and FCFE is positive, FCFE is a simpler approach to valuation than FCFF, EVA, or residual income, and is preferred in this case.
FCFE > 0
Under the assumption that a company maintains relatively constant proportions of equity and debt financing, the most appropriate valuation model is the:
A. FCFF approach.
B. FCFE approach.
C. residual income approach
Answer: B
Since the company's capital structure is reasonably stable and FCFE is positive, FCFE is a simpler approach to valuation than FCFF, EVA, or residual income, and is preferred in this case.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
Equity method and Proportionate consolidation
| equity | → | proportionate consolidation | |
| Net income | +share(%) | = | +share(%) |
| Total equity | (no change) | = | (no change) |
| COGS | (no change) | < | +share(%) |
| inclusion of minority interest accounts | (no change) | = | (no change) |
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
E
Acquisition: goodwill, amount reported in the B/S
| 12/31/2007 in $ thousands | Acquirer | Target | Target |
| Book value/Fair value | BV | FV | |
| Assets | |||
| Cash | 710 | 100 | 100 |
| Marketable securities | 2,550 | - | - |
| Inventory | 2,000 | 400 | 400 |
| Accounts receivable | 3,000 | 500 | 500 |
| PP & E | 2,450 | 1,000 | 1,200 |
| Total assets | 10,710 | 2,000 | 2,200 |
| Liabilities | |||
| Accounts payable | 3,310 | 400 | 400 |
| Long-term debt | 5,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 |
| Equity | 2,400 | 600 | 800 |
| Total liabilities and equity | 10,710 | 2,000 | 2,200 |
- On 12/31/2007, Acquirer purchased a 35% ownership interest in a strategic new firm called Target for $300,000 in cash.
- The remaining useful life of the PP&E is 10 years with no salvage value. Both firms use the straight-line depreciation method.
- For the year ended 2008, Target reported net income of $250,000 and paid dividends of $100,000.
- During the first quarter of 2009, Target sold goods to Acquirer and recognized $15,000 of profit from the sale. At the end of the quarter, half of the goods purchased from Target remained in Acquirer's inventory.
[Question]
The amount of (partial) goodwill as a result of Acquirer's acquisition of Target is:
300,000 - 35% * 800,000 = 300,000 - 280,000 = $20,000
[Question]
What amount should Acquirer report in its balance sheet as a result of its investment in Target at the end of 2008?
Under the equity method,
Original amount including goodwill + %ownership * (Net income - Dividends) - %ownership * Additional depreciation
= 300,000 + 35% * (250,000 - 100,000) - 35% * ((1,200,000 - 1,000,000) - 0)/10
= 300,000 + 52,500 - 7,000
= 345,500
[Question]
Which of the following best describes Acquirer's treatment of the intercompany sales transaction for the quarter ended 3/31/2009?
Acquirer should reduce its equity income by:
15,000 * 50% * 35% = $2,625
Labels:
A,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
reclassification: from designated at fair value to available-for-sale
| designated at fair value (representing unrealized gains) | → | available-for-sale | |
| Net income | ↓ | ||
| Retained earnings | ↓ | ||
| Other comprehensive income | ↑ | ||
| Total equity | (no change) | ||
| Total liabilities | (no change) | ||
| Total assets | (no change) | ||
| Asset turnover = Revenues / Total assets | (no change)/(no change) | ||
| ROA = Net income / Total assets | ↓/(no change) | ||
| Debt to Equity = D/E | (no change)/(no change) | ||
| ROE = Net income / Equity | ↓/(no change) | ||
| Debt to Total capital = D/(D+E) | (no change)/(no change + no change) |
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
R
Temporal method: different local currency, functional currency and reporting currency of a subsidiary
[Question]
(1) the operating, financing, and investing decisions related to a foreign subsidiary's operations are typically made by the foreign subsidiary's local management located in the foreign country; and
(2) some of the foreign subsidiary's accounts receivable are denominated in a different foreign currency(DFC).
Which method is the best to use to translate the DFC receivables into the foreign currency (FC), according to U.S. GAAP?
The U.S. dollar is the reporting currency of a parent company.
A. The all-current method.
B. The temporal method.
C. The method will depend on inflation.
Answer: B
In this example, the DFC is the local currency, the FC is the functional currency (because the foreign subsidiary is an independent subsidiary), and the U.S. dollar is the reporting currency.
The appropriate application of U.S. GAAP is to first remeasure the DFC receivables from DFC to FC using the temporal method.
(1) the operating, financing, and investing decisions related to a foreign subsidiary's operations are typically made by the foreign subsidiary's local management located in the foreign country; and
(2) some of the foreign subsidiary's accounts receivable are denominated in a different foreign currency(DFC).
Which method is the best to use to translate the DFC receivables into the foreign currency (FC), according to U.S. GAAP?
The U.S. dollar is the reporting currency of a parent company.
A. The all-current method.
B. The temporal method.
C. The method will depend on inflation.
Answer: B
In this example, the DFC is the local currency, the FC is the functional currency (because the foreign subsidiary is an independent subsidiary), and the U.S. dollar is the reporting currency.
The appropriate application of U.S. GAAP is to first remeasure the DFC receivables from DFC to FC using the temporal method.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Full goodwill and Partial goodwill: IFRS
If Acquirer decides to purchase only 80% of Target, under IFRS they will have the option to:
A. report the acquisition as either a business combination or as an acquisition.
B. value the identifiable assets and liabilities of Target at their current book values or at fair market value.
C. report more or less goodwill depending on the accounting method they choose.
Answer: C
A. report the acquisition as either a business combination or as an acquisition.
B. value the identifiable assets and liabilities of Target at their current book values or at fair market value.
C. report more or less goodwill depending on the accounting method they choose.
Answer: C
- All business combinations (e.g., merger, purchase, or consolidation) are reported under the acquisition method.
- Identifiable assets and liabilities must be reported at fair value at the time of the acquisition.
- Under IFRS, Acquirer has the option of calculating the goodwill for the acquisition under either the full goodwill or partial goodwill methods. Goodwill is less under the partial goodwill method.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
Goodwill
(Question)
Regarding the goodwill on the acquisition of Target (from 80% to 100%) being considered by Acquirer, which of the following statements is correct?
A. It is equal to the excess of the purchase price over the fair value of the identifiable assets and liabilities and must be amortized over no longer than 30 years.
B. It will be reported as an asset, not amortized, and must be reviewed for impairment at least annually, with same test for impairment under IFRS and U.S. GAAP.
C. For goodwill that is found to be impaired, the amount of the impairment charge reported is the same under both IFRS and U.S. GAAP.
Answer: C
Regarding the goodwill on the acquisition of Target (from 80% to 100%) being considered by Acquirer, which of the following statements is correct?
A. It is equal to the excess of the purchase price over the fair value of the identifiable assets and liabilities and must be amortized over no longer than 30 years.
B. It will be reported as an asset, not amortized, and must be reviewed for impairment at least annually, with same test for impairment under IFRS and U.S. GAAP.
C. For goodwill that is found to be impaired, the amount of the impairment charge reported is the same under both IFRS and U.S. GAAP.
Answer: C
- Goodwill is no longer amortized under IFRS or U.S. GAAP.
- The test for impairment is different under IFRS than under U.S. GAAP.
- For assets that are judged to be impaired, the calculation of the amount of the impairment charge is the same under both IFRS and U.S. GAAP.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
G
Acquisition method and Pooling of interest method
| Pooling of interest method | Acquisition method | ||
| Acquirer | Acquirer | ||
| Target | Assets | Book value | Fair value |
| Target | Liabilities | Book value | Fair value |
| Acquirer | goodwill? | No | Yes |
(Question)
Regarding the prior purchase that was accounted for under the pooling of interests method, had Acquirer reporeted this purchase under the acquisition method:
A. the assets and liabilities of the purchased firm would not be included on Acquirer's balance sheet
B. balance sheet assets and liabilities of the purchased firm would have been reported at fair value.
C. reported goodwill could be less depending on the fair value of the identifiable assets and liabilities compared to their book values.
Answer: B
The assets and liabilities of the purchased firm are included on the balance sheet of the acquiring firm under either method.
- Under the pooling method, there is no adjustment of balance sheet asset and liability values to their fair values (i.e. book value).
- There is no goodwill reported under the pooling method; the purchase price is not reflected on the balance sheet of the acquiring firm.
- Under the acquisition method, assets and liabilities acquired are reported at fair value at the time of the purchase.
Labels:
A,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Friday, April 15, 2011
Operating ROA (Return On Asset)
Operating ROA (Return On Asset) = EBIT / Total Assets
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
O
Sunday, April 10, 2011
Acquisition method: consolidated current asset
Acquirer →(45% ownership stake, $9 million in cash)→ Target
| acquisition | Prior to | Prior to | After |
| in $ millions | Acquirer | Target | Acquirer (consolidated, acquisition method) |
| Current asset | 96 | 32 | 96-9+32 = 119 |
| Total equity | 80 | 16 |
Labels:
A,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Saturday, April 9, 2011
FRA: current value
| Days | original | 30 days later | |
| 30 | 3.12% | ||
| 60 | 3.32% | ||
| 90 | 3.52% | ||
| 120 | 3.72% | 3.92% | |
| 150 | 3.92% | ||
| 180 | 4.12% | ||
| 2x5 FRA | 4.30% | (now 1x4 FRA) 4.14% | |
The current value of the $10 million FRA to the short position:
(4.30%-4.14%) * $10 million * (90/360) / (1+3.92%*(120/360))
= $3,948.4075
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
Forward contract on a Treasury bond
| Days | (underlying) Treasury | Forward | |
| 0 | Price = $98.25 | ||
| 182 | Coupon = 100*5%*(1/2) = $2.50 | ||
| 270 | maturity | ||
| 365 | Coupon = 100*5%*(1/2) = $2.50 |
Forward contract
- Underlying: $1 million Treasury bond (w/ 10 years remaining to maturity)
- Underlying coupon: 5% (just after a coupon payment)
- Effective annual risk-free rate: 4%
No-arbitrage forward price
= (98.25-2.50/1.04^(182/365))*1.04^(270/365)
= 98.25*1.04^(270/365)-2.50*1.04^((270-182)/365)
= $98.6185 = $98.62
| Days | (underlying) Treasury | Forward | |
| 60 | Price = $98.25 → $98.11 | ||
| 182 | Coupon = 100*5%*(1/2) = $2.50 | ||
| 270 | maturity | ||
| 365 | Coupon = 100*5%*(1/2) = $2.50 |
Value of a long position in the 270-day forward contract on a $10 million bond
= (98.11-2.50/1.04^(122/365) - 98.62/1.04^(210/365)) = -0.77696 (per $100)
-0.77696 * $10*10^6 /$100 = -$77,697 (per $10 million)
Value of a short position in the 270-day forward contract on a $10 million bond
= +0.77696 (per $100)
+$77,697 (per $10 million)
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
Monday, April 4, 2011
Sharpe ratio: market portfolio and risky portfolios
- The market portfolio has the highest Sharpe ratio.
- All other risky portfolios will have a smaller Sharpe ratio than that.
- (even if the funds are mean-variance efficient)
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
S
consolidating SPEs on the balance sheet
| (previously)equity method | SPEs consolidated on the balance sheet | ||
| Assets | ↑ | ||
| Net income | → (no change) | ||
| Equity | - | → (no change) |
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Sunday, April 3, 2011
Callable and Putable bond: market price & OAS
- An interest rate lattice is constructed to be arbitrage-free.
- However, when an analyst calculates the price of the callable and putable bond (call & put price = 100) using the interest rates in the lattice, the analyst gets a value higher than the market price of the bond.
- The embedded options will be exercised if the option has value(i.e., in-the-money).
The price of the callable and putable bond is likely:
| Market price | OAS | ||
| A. | < 100% | Zero | |
| B. | = 100% | Positive | |
| C. | > 100% | Negative |
Answer: B
Market price:
In this case, the bond is callable and putable at the same price(100). Since the embedded options (the issuer's call option and the holder's put option) will be exercised if the option has value (i.e., is in-the-money), the value (=market price, in an ideal world) of the bond must be 100 (plus the interest) at all times.
If rates fall and the computed value goes above 100, the company will call the issue at 100.
Conversely, if rates increase and the computed value goes below 100, the bondholder will "put" the bond back to the issuer for 100.
OAS:
The OAS is a constant spread added to every interest rate in the tree so that the model price of the bond is equal to the market price of the bond. In this case, using the interest rate lattice, the model price of the callable and putable bond is greater than the market price. Hence, a positive spread must be added to every interest rate in the lattice. When a constant spread is added to all the rates such that the model price is equal to the market price, you have found the OAS. The OAS will be positive for the callablle and putable bond.
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Saturday, April 2, 2011
Pecking order theory
Pecking order theory prefers (1) internally generated equity (retained earnings) over new debt and (2) new debt over new equity.
"Pecking order theory states that debt financing is preferable to all equity financing."
→Incorrect.
"Pecking order theory states that debt financing is preferable to all equity financing."
→Incorrect.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
P
Friday, April 1, 2011
Treynor-Black Model
| Analyst | X | Y | |
| Alpha | 4% | 7% | |
| Residual risk | 30% | 40% | |
| Correlation between forecasted and realized alphas | 0.85 | 0.60 |
Using the Treynor-Black model and alphas adjusted for each analyst's forecast accuracy, what is the optimal allocation of the stock recommended by X to the active portfolio?
Answer:
WX=(4%*0.85^2)/30% / ((4%*0.85^2)/30% + (7%*0.60^2)/40%)
= 0.6046... = 60%
WY=1-WX=40%
Note that as the alphas are adjusted downward, not only does the allocation within the active portfolio change, but the allocation between the active portfolio and the market portfolio changes as well. The allocation to the active portfolio will decline and the allocation to the market portfolio will increase as a result of adjusting for forecast accuracy.
Correlation^2=R^2
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
T
Theory of active portfolio management
| Year | Characterization of capital market valuation | ||
| 1998-1999 | There was a bubble in stock prices. | ||
| 2000-2001 | Stock prices subsequently corrected. | ||
| 2002-2003 | The downward trend in stock prices, due to an overcorrection; that is, prices fell significantly below fundamental values. |
Assume that the characterization of capital market valuation above is correct. According to the theory of active portfolio management, in which period(s) of time did large numbers of investors turn their attention to actively managed funds?
A. The period 1998-1999 only.
B. The period 2000-2001 only.
C. The periods 1998-1999 and 2002-2003.
Answer: B
According to the theory of active portfolio management, one of the justifications for active management is that market equilibrium results from the activity of active managers who are seeking misvalued securities. That is, the actions of active managers result in fairly valued securities.
Capital markets were corrected from 2000 to 2001. This would result from large numbers of investors turning their attention to actively managed funds.
The misvaluations in the periods 1998-1999 and 2002-2003 would be from not enough assets being deployed to active management.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
T
Expected growth rate in dividends for stocks
If the expected growth rate in dividends for stocks increases by 75 basis points, which of the following would benefit the most? An investor who:
A. is short futures contracts on the equity index.
B. is long futures contracts on the equity index.
C. has a long position in put options on the equity index.
Answer: B
An increase in the growth rate in dividends for stocks would increase the spot price of the equity index. As the spot price increases, the futures price for a given maturity also increases (holding interest rates constant). Thus, an investor who is long a futures contract already can enter into a short futures contract at the same maturity for a higher futures price than his long contract. Effectively, the investor can buy the asset in the future for a fixed price and sell the asset for a higher fixed price--a guaranteed profit. Thus, as the spot and futures prices rise, the value of a long index futures position rises as well.
A. is short futures contracts on the equity index.
B. is long futures contracts on the equity index.
C. has a long position in put options on the equity index.
Answer: B
An increase in the growth rate in dividends for stocks would increase the spot price of the equity index. As the spot price increases, the futures price for a given maturity also increases (holding interest rates constant). Thus, an investor who is long a futures contract already can enter into a short futures contract at the same maturity for a higher futures price than his long contract. Effectively, the investor can buy the asset in the future for a fixed price and sell the asset for a higher fixed price--a guaranteed profit. Thus, as the spot and futures prices rise, the value of a long index futures position rises as well.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
E
Futures and Forwards
"The risk-free interest rate term structure is flat."
"You should note that if we had entered into a forward contract with the same terms, the contract price would most likely have been lower but we would have increased the credit risk exposure of the portfolio."
Incorrect.
"You should note that if we had entered into a forward contract with the same terms, the contract price would most likely have been lower but we would have increased the credit risk exposure of the portfolio."
Incorrect.
- In a flat (constant) interest rate environment, there is no difference in the prices of futures and forward contracts.
- The part of the comment ralating to credit risk is correct.
- Because the forward contracts are not marked to market each day, the value is not reset to zero each day and credit risk is higher because large losses are allowed to accumulate.
- Thus, the credit risk would increase if forwards were used instead of futures.
Labels:
CFA Level 2 (June 2011),
F
Convenience Yield
"You should note that since we have taken a short position in the futures contract, the price we will receive for selling the equity index in 240 days will be reduced by the convenience yield associated with having a long position in the underlying asset. If there were no cash flows associated with the underlying asset, the price would be higher."
Incorrect
Convenience yield refers to non-monetary benefits from holding an asset in short supply.
A monetary benefit from holding the asset will also decrease the no-arbitrage futures price because the net cost of holding is reduced.
Incorrect
Convenience yield refers to non-monetary benefits from holding an asset in short supply.
A monetary benefit from holding the asset will also decrease the no-arbitrage futures price because the net cost of holding is reduced.
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
Cash flow duration and Empirical duration
| Cash flow duration | Empirical duration | ||
| Feature | Similar to effective duration. | ||
| Advantage | It does NOT rely on any theoretical formulas (theoretical valuation models) | ||
| Weakness | It fails to fully account for changes in prepayment rates as cash flow yields change. (Cash flow duration assumes that one prepayment rate will apply over the life of an MBS for whatever change in interest rates is assumed.) | Reliance on historical pricing data that may not exist for many mortgage-backed securities. (The values are based on historical pricing relationships.) |
Labels:
C,
CFA Level 2 (June 2011)
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