Sunday, May 16, 2010

unexpected restrictive fiscal policies

unexpected restrictive fiscal policies
budget deficitunexpectedly reduced
economy(could result in) a slowdown
inflation(could be) lower
importsdiscouraged
exportsencouraged
home country currency valuehigher
government borrowingdecline
real interest ratedown
investment funds to the home countryflow out of the country
home country currency value
lower
short-run effect (*)devaluation of the home country's currency
aggregate demanddecrease
domestic interest ratedecrease (**)
importsreduce
Current account deficitreduce
foreign investmentlower
domestic capitalleaving the country
Capital account surplusreduce

(*) Since financial capital is mobile, the effect of the interest rate change generally dominates in the short run, leading to short-run devaluation.

(**) due to less government borrowing

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