| roll yield | |||
| positive(*) | Futures price > "full carry" price | backwardation | This may occur when prices are low and volatile and commodities producers are concerned that they will fall further, to a level that is unprofitable. Producers will accept less that the "full carry" price in oder to hedge price risk. |
(*) If you long a commodity futures and sell at a higher price at roll over date, you will get a positive roll yield.
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