Friday, May 7, 2010

currency: interest rate, inflation, and appreciation/depreciation

  • Economic growth
    • An increase in U.S. economic growth would weaken the dollar because the economic growth would stimulate the demand for imports and foreign currencies. This would result in a weakening of the dollar, relative to other currencies.
  • Unexpected expansionary fiscal policy
    • increase in real interest rate and then appreciation of the currency
    • higher inflation, economic growth, and more imports --> depreciation of the currency
    • However, financial capital is more mobile than the goods market so the overall short-run effect would be for the currency to appreciate

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