Saturday, May 1, 2010

International CAPM (ICAPM)

ICAPM (with only one foreign currency)

E(Ri) = Rf, DC + Biw * RPw + γi1 * SRP1

SRP1 = expected foreign currency (FC) appreciation - (Rf, DC - Rf, FC)


E(Ri): company i's expected (or required) return
Rf, DC: domestic risk-free rate
Rf, FC: foreign risk-free rate
Biw: sensitivity of i to the world market
RPw: world market risk premium
γi1: sensitivity of i to changes in the (domestic currency / foreign currency) exchange rate
SRP1: foreign currency risk premium



(e.g.)
GBP: domestic currency
CAD: foreign currency

E(Ri): company i's expected (or required) return
Rf, DC = Rf, GBP = 6%
Rf, FC = Rf, CAD = 9%
Biw = 1.2
RPw = 6%
γi1 = sensitivity of i to changes in the GBP/CAD = 1.4

CAD is expected to depreciate against GBP by 2%.
SRP1 = (-2% - (6%-9%)) = 1%

∴ E(Ri) = 6% + 1.2 * 6% + 1.4 * 1% = 14.6%



(e.g.)

A U.S. investor invests in a swiss stock.

The Swiss stock:
world beta = 1.2
world market risk premium = 4%
Swiss franc risk premium = 0.5%
currency exposure = 0.5
risk-free rate = 5%

∴ E(Ri) = 5% + 1.2*4% + 0.5 * 0.5% = 10.05%

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