Saturday, January 29, 2011

Birds-in-the-hand theory

Birds-in-the-hand theory
Investors perception
Investors preference in Capital gain or Income gain?Income gain would be preferable. (*2)
Dividends paid by a companyInstable Negative(*1)
Stock pricePunished
Cost of equityHigher
Equity valueLower
Stock repurchaseUnpredictable and possibly one-time event. (*3)
(*1) Any volatility (both increase and decrease) in dividends is seen as a negative sign by investors.
(*2) Uncertainty associated with capital appreciation vs. relative certainty of dividends.
(*3) A repurchase does not provide the same type of assurance since it is an unpredictable and possibly one-time event.

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