Wednesday, January 5, 2011

NPV venture capital method

NPV venture capital method
YearCapital invested
($ million)
Selling price
($ million)
Discount ratePre-money valuationPost-money valuation
0-20 (*)(3) 1/(1+40%)^4*(+400/(1+30%)^2 - 40) = 51.1991
140%
240%
340%
4-4040%(2) +400/(1+30%)^2 - 40(1) +400/(1+30%)^2
530%
6+40030%
(*) capital investment today by the first-round investors


Fractional ownership for first-round investors:
f1 = INV0/POST0 = 20/51.1991 = 39.06%

Spe: number of shares owned by the private equity LPs (first-round investors)
Se: number of shares owned by a company(investee;investment target)'s founders = 5 million shares

(Spe+Se)*f1 = Spe
Se*f1 = Spe * (1-f1)
Spe = Se*f1/(1-f1)
= 5,000,000*39.06%/(1-39.06%) = 3,204,792 shares


Stock price after the first round of financing
P1
= POST0/(Spe+Se)
= 51.1991*10^6/(3,204,792+5,000,000)
= INV0/Spe
= 20*10^6/3,204,792
= $6.24

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