Thursday, January 27, 2011

ex-dividend: change in the stock price when the stock goes ex-dividend

|Δp| * (1-TCG) = D * (1-TD)
|Δp| = D * (1-TD)/(1-TCG)


|Δp| : the change in the stock price when the stock goes ex-dividend (in absolute terms, since Δp < 0)
D: dividend declared per share
TD : tax bracket for dividends
TCG : tax bracket for capital gains


(e.g.)
D = 2.25
TD = 15%
TCG = 39.6%

|Δp| * (1 - TCG) = D * (1 - TD)
|Δp| = D * (1 - TD) / (1 - TCG)
= 2.25 * (1 - 15%) / (1 - 39.6%) = 3.1664... ≈ 3.17

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